Roy Nelson lands an overhand right on Cheick Kongo for the KO finish

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Josh Thomson lands a third head kick on Nate Diaz

 

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UFC 159 BREAKDOWN

Posted: April 21, 2013 in Breakdowns
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Jim Miller VS Pat Healy

To me, this looks like a gimme fight to get Jim Miller back on track. Jim has 4 losses on his record, 2 former champions and 2 #1 contenders. I don’t see Pat Healy even putting a dent in him. I wouldnt even go as far as to say he has a chance. Miller uses anything in his arsenal to turn Healy’s 16 losses into 17.

PAT HEALY SUBMITS JIM MILLER IN ROUND 3 VIA REAR-NAKED CHOKE <–I did not see this coming

Phil Davis VS Vinny Magalhaes

Even though Vinny is a 2.5 to 1 for odds, I like the ADCC champion’s chances here. Davis hasn’t been to the ground with any high level BJJ players since Little Nog, who traded in his ground game for boxing. There is the odd chance that Davis tries to keep this standing because he is the better striker,  but I bet he sticks to his bread and butter and goes for the takedown. If Vinny is going for the sub win here, he better do it in the 1st round because thats all his gas tank has to offer. I love these Wrestler VS BJJ match ups. This’ll be a good one.

After a close first round, Phil Davis rode to a unanimous decision

Roy Nelson VS Cheick Kongo

Kongo is a tall, cut heavyweight who looks like he should KO everyone. He doesn’t. Nelson is a shorter, obese heavyweight who looks like he belongs on reality TV. He has amazing KO power. If you have a suspect chin, chances are good Roy Nelson puts you down. He counters his opponents with a devestating overhand right and most of the time, one is enough to send them wobbling. Unfortunately, his cardio is possibly the worst in MMA. Half way through round 1 you will see Roy gassing. If Kongo can avoid the big shot in Round 1, I see him taking this by handily out striking a tired Nelson.

Nelson KO’d Kongo early in the first

Michael Bisping VS Alan Belcher

Bisping has the advantage anywhere this fight goes, having better striking and wrestling than Belcher. Alan Belcher was on a 4 fight win streak before having an awful showing in a rematch against Yushin Okami. The deciding factor in this bout will be the level of competition each has faced. Belcher has flopped against low tier fighters like Kendall Grove and Jason Day whereas Bisping only seems to lose to the top 5. Michael Bisping is the wolf that eats the sheep. Sadly, he has to step aside when another wolf comes along. Bisping takes this by keeping Belcher at the end of his jab while setting up for the big shots, wearing him down for a later round TKO

Michael Bisping gets the technical decision via eyepoke but had Belcher handily beat anyway.

Jon Jones VS Chael Sonnen

Chael Sonnen got this fight from trash talk and trash talk alone. After a decisive TKO loss to Anderson Silva, the UFC Brass decided it was good for business to give Sonnen a shot at Jon Jones’ gold. Chael has done most of the promotion for this fight while Jones has apologized for his only comment I can recall. Jon Jones, the 9 to 1 favourite, is better anywhere this fight goes. Chael needs to clinch to get this to the ground and Jones is a clinch throw expert, dislocating Hamill’s shoulder with one earlier in his career. Chael is heavily disadvantaged on the feet with technique, reach and size. His gameplan will be to throw some jabs, straights and change some levels on his way to the obvious double leg on Jones. Jon had the perfect game plan for Vera, Bader, Rua and Rampage. I dont see why he won’t have one for the guy who does the same thing every fight. Jones remains champion and Sonnen’s trash talk fails to hype his next fight.

Jones TKO’d Sonnen late in the 1st round after Sonnen put up very little offense.

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Matt Brown VS Jordan Mein

My only previous knowledge of these two fighters are their last fights. Though this only lasted 6 minutes, it was awesome. Brown’s straight right changed the momentum of this fight more than once but Jordan Mein will definitely be something big one day. Matt Brown seems to destroy up and coming fighters who aren’t ready for his style. I can’t wait for both of their next fights.

Nate Diaz VS Josh Thomson

Thomson’s head kicks seems to be tailor made for Diaz’s hand positioning. The extended right hand and lowered left allowed Thomson to throw his right head kick with full force.Three head kicks later with the third one landing solidly and Diaz was somewhere else. I guess the third time’s the charm. Thomson took this without question by a very nice TKO. Excellent UFC re-debut.

Frank Mir VS Daniel Cormier

Round 1 had Cormier one small step ahead of Mir the whole time, which was enough to take the round. I dont think Mir expected Cormier to be as fast as he was. Round 2 is the same story as round 1 with Frank Mir visibly gassed in the end. Mir had some striking success in Round 3 but as soon as the clinch was initiated, it was all Daniel Cormier. Cormier outclasses Frank Mir 30-27 and Mir goes back down the ladder. It seems to me that Mir doesnt have a very good fight IQ.

Benson Henderson VS Gilbert Melendez

I originally thought this would be complete leg kick and wrestling domination via Henderson,it was not. The first round has Gil landing some nice shots and catching Benson’s mid kicks. The 2nd round had pretty much even striking. If I had to pick a Round winner, it’d be Melendez. The next 3 rounds were Henderson slowly getting the better of Melendez and landing more significant strikes giving him the split decision win at UFC on FOX 7.

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Takedowns in MMA

Posted: April 20, 2013 in Articles
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A takedown is the technique of getting your opponent off balance and taking them to the ground, generally landing on top. This is most often done by taking their legs out from under them after driving in like a football tackle. This is known as “shooting”.

Other takedowns include body locks and leg trips. These are also used frequently but you are most likely going to see a fighter “shoot” for the takedown rather then attempt a leg trip.

GSP’s takedowns are nothing unique. They are very explosive but they are still just a takedown. GSP focuses on making his opponents off balance before attempting the takedowns. He baits them into thinking they are having a striking contest and he shoots in. A good example of this is when he fought Thiago Alves. GSP threw an out of range jab so Alves would lean back to avoid it and he capitalized on Alves off balance position and drove in for a successful takedown.

Jon Jones is an entirely different animal. He uses a lot of clinch takedowns, throws and leg trips. Having the size,strength and technique advantage helps too. He dislocated Hamills shoulder with a leg trip, and a good one at that. Hamill flipped near upside down, landing on and dislocating his shoulder. This of course led to Jones illegal elbows and his only loss.

Judo is not a big part in MMA because it doesnt translate well into it. A few have failed to stay at the top using this art. The one person who has been continuously successful with Judo is Ronda Rousey. Ronda uses hip throws and leg trips to get her opponents to the mat and then its the same old story. Rousey doesn’t have much in the way of striking offense or defense, so her judo has been the deciding factor in every fight.

Josh Thomson uses a leg trip that I never see coming. Since it is successful most of the time, I guess his opponents don’t either. He used it most recently in the later rounds of Melendez 3 and is successful, it also secures the round for him.

Scoring takedowns in MMA is a controversial subject that always seems to end in argument. Some say if you can put your opponent on his back and nullify him, you deserve the round. Others say holding is not winning.

Cain Velasquez is known for his relentless takedowns and ground-and-pound. Never a dull fight, he doesn’t give his opponent a second to breathe. Wrestlers such as Ben Askren, Jon Fitch and occasionally GSP are hated due to their “blanket” style, keeping the opponent warm until the buzzer sounds. They have had fighters so gassed by Round 3 yet refuse to go for the sub. It is fighters like these that cause the arguments. They will be losing the battle on the feet,drag the opponent down and keep them there for the majority of the round. When the opponent finally gets back up, they go for an immediate takedown.

I can only imagine the hardship for the judges. I’ve always wondered what their criteria is for takedowns.

Many fighters complain about the decisions. “I guess a couple BS takedowns go a long way!” In the end, this is the fight game and if you have something that works..use it.

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Georges St Pierre VS Nick Diaz

“Stockton Motherf***er!”. The king of talking crap and the Stockton Slap,Nick Diaz. Rarely does a fighter coming off a loss get the opportunity to fight for the title, but when the iron is still hot you should probably strike.

Sporting a record of 26-8,Nick Diaz brawls like no other. He uses his famous Diaz boxing to get the job done,mixing in pot shots with the weak to surprise his opponent. In 2009, Frank Shamrock criticized Diaz boxing from the pre-fight interviews to the body shot that dropped him to the mat.  If you ask him about it today, he’ll praise the style.

The Stockton Native has no fear or common sense, Relentlessly attacking Paul Daley in a 2011 Strikeforce bout  turned boxing match. Diaz punched his way to a TKO after getting dropped earlier in the round. Fighters with the high level ground game that Diaz possesses would NEVER stand with Daley. I guess recklessness prevails sometimes.

Nick Diaz has had trouble with wrestlers in the past. He lost 3 in a row in 2006 to Sanchez,Riggs and Sherk. Nick also lost a split to Karo Parisyan  in ’04. Since his rise to fame in Strikeforce, he has never signed to fight a single wrestler. 5 strikers followed by his UFC re-debut against BJ Penn and a loss to Carlos Condit. Condit was also his first well rounded striker in years and he couldn’t mount much of an offense in 25 minutes seeing as Carlos didn’t stand in front of him. GSP will be the first wrestler he fought since ’06 against Sean Sherk

Georges St. Pierre, The current and most dominant Welterweight Champion ever seen in the UFC. Once fighting like a man possessed, with 14 fights and 10 early finishes, Matt Serra‘s come-from-behind upset victory changed him. After beating Serra in the rematch by TKO, he went on to have 6 of his next 7 fights go to the judges. He was so afraid to risk anything anymore that he traded in his arsenal for a lunging jab and a gymnastics class.

His wrestling is his main weapon these days. Georges‘ wrestling technique is so far above the competition that after the takedown is secured, you can guarantee yourself a couple minutes to grab something from the kitchen. His takedowns are nothing special though, it’s all in his delivery, making you think you’re in a striking match and then shooting on you. Diaz will not have a chance against GSP. Though he plays it safe nowadays, his arsenal of; lunging jabs, superman punches and spinning kicks, should pass the Diaz boxing test. If not, His wrestling will be more than enough to nullify Nick for a unanimous decision. This will be the best beat down GSP has ever given. Let’s just hope Nick Diaz doesn’t fail the Pre-fight drug test and shows up for the fight. This will prove he doesn’t belong in the title picture at WW.

My Prediction : GSP takes this by unanimous decision. GSP WON A UNI DEC

Johny Hendricks VS Carlos Condit

Carlos Condit‘s striking GREATLY improved since his UFC debut. He began putting more power behind his punches, knocking out Dan Hardy and Dong Hyun Kim in back to back wins early in the first round. He gave Georges St Pierre one of the toughest fights of his career in his last outing, won a Fight of the Night award for his performance, kept the best wrestler in the UFC away from side control and even knocked him down with a well placed head kick in the third.

Fear the beard! Johny Hendricks is the definition of one punch power. Known for knocking out Martin Kampmann and Jon Fitch in a combined 58 seconds. His only loss is a unanimous decision to Rick Story that showed holes in his wrestling game. Many thought he deserved a shot at GSP after those 58 seconds in the cage but it never came around. Instead, Johny has another obstacle in his path, Carlos Condit.

My Prediction : Carlos Condit takes this either by KO or a 1 sided unanimous decision. HENDRICKS WON A CONTROVERSIAL DECISION AFTER BEING OUTSTRUCK

Jake Ellenberger VS Nate Marquardt

Jake entered the UFC on a low note, losing a split decision to Carlos Condit. He rebounded by knocking out 4 of his next 6 opponents, including the never before finished Jake Shields, and developed a name for himself as a power puncher. Ellenberger goes for the knockout with every single punch he throws. This could be the reason he can’t make it to round 3. He recently suffered a knockout loss at the hands of Martin Kampmann. After a succesful left hook knockdown followed by a barrage of punches, Ellenberger found himself on the receiving end of a guillotine choke attempt that lasted most of the round. Out of gas in round 2, Jake‘s punches didn’t do as much damage. He may have bloodied Kampmann but eventually succumbed to some knees from the thai clinch ending this main event. He rebounded by redeeming one of his losses, beating Jay Heiron by unanimous decision.

Nate Marquardt is 2-2 in his last 4 fights, getting badly beat by Saffiedine and losing a close decison to Yushin Okami. He regained the spotlight with his win against Tyrone Woodley, acquiring the Strikeforce Welterweight Title. He was cut from the UFC for “failing medical requirements” and also popped for nandrolone in his original debut. Though Nate has issues with defending a strong wrestlers takedown, he has the tools to pull this off if he plays it safe, weathering the early storm and taking it into the later rounds. We will have to see if he passes the pre and post fight tests.

My Prediction : Jake Ellenberger finishes this with a TKO before Round 3 ELLENBERGER KO’D MARQUARDT EARLY IN THE 1ST ROUND

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UFC 157 Rousey Carmouche Hendo Machida Urijah Faber Menjivar

Ronda Rousey VS Liz Carmouche

I think this  fight lasts as long as it takes Rousey to get an Over-Under hook. As much as I’d like to see Ronda finished and humbled, Carmouche will be outmatched on the ground and doesn’t have the takedown defense needed to keep it standing. Ronda Rousey has let all the hype go to her head and is not the same person that she started out as. Regardless of my views on her,She still wins this by armbar before the 3 minute mark. making her record 7-0.

Dan Henderson VS Lyoto Machida

This fight is tailor made for Machida. It’s counter striker versus power puncher. There’s one catch though, the power puncher is Dan Henderson. Lyoto Machida’s technical striking should be the answer to winning this. His goal is to keep his distant from Henderson’s right hand and land shots on the move. Lyoto needs to frustrate Dan enough to get him throwing wildly and taking chances. This will open him up for the critical shots and tire him, which is what Machida needs to get a unanimous decision.

Henderson needs to cut Machida off against the cage and keep him there. The chances of this are slim because Lyoto is very elusive and I don’t think Henderson is in the business of game plans. The majority of Dan’s recent opponents have stood in front of him; Shogun,Bisping,Cavalcante,Sobral and Fedor.  I see Dan over relying on his right hand and hoping he lands. There is still a chance that Dan wins with this method because he’s been on the losing end of fights and turned the tides with one.

Machida has KOed 3 men who have never been KOed but I still think he  takes this by unanimous decision.

Urijah Faber VS Ivan Menjivar

Since their respective UFC debuts, Faber has gone 2-2 and Menjivar 4-1. At first glance, Menjivar has had a better time in the UFC. This is not the case, however, Ivan didn’t fight Bantamweight Champions Cruz or Barao. Faber has fought much harder competition since his UFC debut and that will be the deciding factor in this rematch. Their first fight ended with Menjivar kicking Faber in the head while on the ground, resulting in a DQ.

Ivan hasn’t been finished since 2002, where he was KOed by GSP and submitted by Jason Black. Urijah Faber has been KOed twice in his career by Mike Brown in 08 and Tyson Griffin in 05. I see Urijah winning this by decision. I don’t see anywhere Ivan is better than him. I also don’t see either one being able to challenge Cruz though.

Josh Koscheck VS Robbie Lawler

Since Lawler’s Strikeforce debut, he has never had back to back wins and his only impressive moment in 9 Strikeforce bouts was his flying knee KO of Adlan Amagov. He is coming over to the UFC on a loss and is probably part of a plan to get Koscheck back in the win column. Upsets have happened with Josh as the favourite before. He was KO’ed by Paulo Thiago in highlight reel fashion and choked out by Drew Fickett. I see Koscheck using his wrestling to win this by unanimous decision and not  take any chances on the feet with the heavy hitting Lawler.

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