Posts Tagged ‘P4P’

Georges St Pierre VS Nick Diaz

“Stockton Motherf***er!”. The king of talking crap and the Stockton Slap,Nick Diaz. Rarely does a fighter coming off a loss get the opportunity to fight for the title, but when the iron is still hot you should probably strike.

Sporting a record of 26-8,Nick Diaz brawls like no other. He uses his famous Diaz boxing to get the job done,mixing in pot shots with the weak to surprise his opponent. In 2009, Frank Shamrock criticized Diaz boxing from the pre-fight interviews to the body shot that dropped him to the mat.  If you ask him about it today, he’ll praise the style.

The Stockton Native has no fear or common sense, Relentlessly attacking Paul Daley in a 2011 Strikeforce bout  turned boxing match. Diaz punched his way to a TKO after getting dropped earlier in the round. Fighters with the high level ground game that Diaz possesses would NEVER stand with Daley. I guess recklessness prevails sometimes.

Nick Diaz has had trouble with wrestlers in the past. He lost 3 in a row in 2006 to Sanchez,Riggs and Sherk. Nick also lost a split to Karo Parisyan  in ’04. Since his rise to fame in Strikeforce, he has never signed to fight a single wrestler. 5 strikers followed by his UFC re-debut against BJ Penn and a loss to Carlos Condit. Condit was also his first well rounded striker in years and he couldn’t mount much of an offense in 25 minutes seeing as Carlos didn’t stand in front of him. GSP will be the first wrestler he fought since ’06 against Sean Sherk

Georges St. Pierre, The current and most dominant Welterweight Champion ever seen in the UFC. Once fighting like a man possessed, with 14 fights and 10 early finishes, Matt Serra‘s come-from-behind upset victory changed him. After beating Serra in the rematch by TKO, he went on to have 6 of his next 7 fights go to the judges. He was so afraid to risk anything anymore that he traded in his arsenal for a lunging jab and a gymnastics class.

His wrestling is his main weapon these days. Georges‘ wrestling technique is so far above the competition that after the takedown is secured, you can guarantee yourself a couple minutes to grab something from the kitchen. His takedowns are nothing special though, it’s all in his delivery, making you think you’re in a striking match and then shooting on you. Diaz will not have a chance against GSP. Though he plays it safe nowadays, his arsenal of; lunging jabs, superman punches and spinning kicks, should pass the Diaz boxing test. If not, His wrestling will be more than enough to nullify Nick for a unanimous decision. This will be the best beat down GSP has ever given. Let’s just hope Nick Diaz doesn’t fail the Pre-fight drug test and shows up for the fight. This will prove he doesn’t belong in the title picture at WW.

My Prediction : GSP takes this by unanimous decision. GSP WON A UNI DEC

Johny Hendricks VS Carlos Condit

Carlos Condit‘s striking GREATLY improved since his UFC debut. He began putting more power behind his punches, knocking out Dan Hardy and Dong Hyun Kim in back to back wins early in the first round. He gave Georges St Pierre one of the toughest fights of his career in his last outing, won a Fight of the Night award for his performance, kept the best wrestler in the UFC away from side control and even knocked him down with a well placed head kick in the third.

Fear the beard! Johny Hendricks is the definition of one punch power. Known for knocking out Martin Kampmann and Jon Fitch in a combined 58 seconds. His only loss is a unanimous decision to Rick Story that showed holes in his wrestling game. Many thought he deserved a shot at GSP after those 58 seconds in the cage but it never came around. Instead, Johny has another obstacle in his path, Carlos Condit.

My Prediction : Carlos Condit takes this either by KO or a 1 sided unanimous decision. HENDRICKS WON A CONTROVERSIAL DECISION AFTER BEING OUTSTRUCK

Jake Ellenberger VS Nate Marquardt

Jake entered the UFC on a low note, losing a split decision to Carlos Condit. He rebounded by knocking out 4 of his next 6 opponents, including the never before finished Jake Shields, and developed a name for himself as a power puncher. Ellenberger goes for the knockout with every single punch he throws. This could be the reason he can’t make it to round 3. He recently suffered a knockout loss at the hands of Martin Kampmann. After a succesful left hook knockdown followed by a barrage of punches, Ellenberger found himself on the receiving end of a guillotine choke attempt that lasted most of the round. Out of gas in round 2, Jake‘s punches didn’t do as much damage. He may have bloodied Kampmann but eventually succumbed to some knees from the thai clinch ending this main event. He rebounded by redeeming one of his losses, beating Jay Heiron by unanimous decision.

Nate Marquardt is 2-2 in his last 4 fights, getting badly beat by Saffiedine and losing a close decison to Yushin Okami. He regained the spotlight with his win against Tyrone Woodley, acquiring the Strikeforce Welterweight Title. He was cut from the UFC for “failing medical requirements” and also popped for nandrolone in his original debut. Though Nate has issues with defending a strong wrestlers takedown, he has the tools to pull this off if he plays it safe, weathering the early storm and taking it into the later rounds. We will have to see if he passes the pre and post fight tests.

My Prediction : Jake Ellenberger finishes this with a TKO before Round 3 ELLENBERGER KO’D MARQUARDT EARLY IN THE 1ST ROUND

MMA INVASION

UFC 157 Rousey Carmouche Hendo Machida Urijah Faber Menjivar

Ronda Rousey VS Liz Carmouche

I think this  fight lasts as long as it takes Rousey to get an Over-Under hook. As much as I’d like to see Ronda finished and humbled, Carmouche will be outmatched on the ground and doesn’t have the takedown defense needed to keep it standing. Ronda Rousey has let all the hype go to her head and is not the same person that she started out as. Regardless of my views on her,She still wins this by armbar before the 3 minute mark. making her record 7-0.

Dan Henderson VS Lyoto Machida

This fight is tailor made for Machida. It’s counter striker versus power puncher. There’s one catch though, the power puncher is Dan Henderson. Lyoto Machida’s technical striking should be the answer to winning this. His goal is to keep his distant from Henderson’s right hand and land shots on the move. Lyoto needs to frustrate Dan enough to get him throwing wildly and taking chances. This will open him up for the critical shots and tire him, which is what Machida needs to get a unanimous decision.

Henderson needs to cut Machida off against the cage and keep him there. The chances of this are slim because Lyoto is very elusive and I don’t think Henderson is in the business of game plans. The majority of Dan’s recent opponents have stood in front of him; Shogun,Bisping,Cavalcante,Sobral and Fedor.  I see Dan over relying on his right hand and hoping he lands. There is still a chance that Dan wins with this method because he’s been on the losing end of fights and turned the tides with one.

Machida has KOed 3 men who have never been KOed but I still think he  takes this by unanimous decision.

Urijah Faber VS Ivan Menjivar

Since their respective UFC debuts, Faber has gone 2-2 and Menjivar 4-1. At first glance, Menjivar has had a better time in the UFC. This is not the case, however, Ivan didn’t fight Bantamweight Champions Cruz or Barao. Faber has fought much harder competition since his UFC debut and that will be the deciding factor in this rematch. Their first fight ended with Menjivar kicking Faber in the head while on the ground, resulting in a DQ.

Ivan hasn’t been finished since 2002, where he was KOed by GSP and submitted by Jason Black. Urijah Faber has been KOed twice in his career by Mike Brown in 08 and Tyson Griffin in 05. I see Urijah winning this by decision. I don’t see anywhere Ivan is better than him. I also don’t see either one being able to challenge Cruz though.

Josh Koscheck VS Robbie Lawler

Since Lawler’s Strikeforce debut, he has never had back to back wins and his only impressive moment in 9 Strikeforce bouts was his flying knee KO of Adlan Amagov. He is coming over to the UFC on a loss and is probably part of a plan to get Koscheck back in the win column. Upsets have happened with Josh as the favourite before. He was KO’ed by Paulo Thiago in highlight reel fashion and choked out by Drew Fickett. I see Koscheck using his wrestling to win this by unanimous decision and not  take any chances on the feet with the heavy hitting Lawler.

MMA INVASION

Demian Maia fighting at Welterweight

Maia came into his fight with one thing on his mind; submitting Jon Fitch. Fitch has possibly the best sub defense in the world and Demian Maia spend 3 rounds trying to break it. Maia spent 15 minutes clinging to Jon Fitch like extra strength velcro, but it seems Jon Fitch is a safe that can not be cracked. Maia completely nullfied Jon Fitch’s game plan, getting  himself the unanimous decision and is now part of the very few men to beat Jon Fitch.

Alistair Overeem is not a Legend

Bigfoot Silva VS Alistair Overeem was supposed to happen in Strikeforce, but when the fight got pushed forward a week, it interfered in Overeem’s “schedule”. After failing a surprise drug test and hitting a testosterone level of 14:1, Alistair was suspended for a year regardless of “not knowing it was put in his system”. During his suspension, Overeem went on a “Clean Fighter” rant and submitted repeated clean tests. After his suspension was up, this matchup was put together. Overeem came into it with considerably less muscle definition, less punching power and a cocky defense. He was efficiently put in his place with a flurry 25 seconds into round 3. The legend is no more and the UFC’s Top Heavyweights can happily carry on without him. Let’s have Junior Dos Santos check that chin if he wants a comeback fight. Joe Silva, make it happen!

Rashad Evans’ Gameplan

I don’t know what Rashad Evans’ gameplan was, but I assumed he would come in with the same plan Ryan Bader and Phil Davis used to best Nog; striking mixed with constant takedowns. This was not the case. Evans’ boxing was very sloppy and uncoordinated. He tried to counter Rogerio’s jab with his own so many times that Nog started to see it coming. He continuously backed up instead of weaving and ate a bunch of straights for his troubles.

The point of weaving is to get around your opponents strike and leave them wide open for a counter.  There were many opportunities for Rashad to use a weave to close the distance. He chose to once, got inside the pocket, but never capitalized on it.

He went for 3 takedowns that I noticed and did not mix striking into their set up causing them to be very telegraphed and basically stuffed. Huge credit to Rogerio Nogueira for getting a W over Rashad but I’m pretty sure Jon Jones broke his will. The Evans that showed up tonight would’ve been easily KOed by Anderson.

Aldo and Edgar

This Super Fight played out much differently than I had imagined. I expected Jose Aldo to take out Frankie Edgar in the 1st or 2nd round but the uppercut finish never came. Instead, Frankie went toe to toe with Jose Aldo, without the hesitation that other fighters have shown. I expected a split decison but in the Judges’ eyes, Aldo got the better of Edgar for four of the rounds. Four 10-9’s was enough for him to keep his Featherweight Title away from Frankie Edgar. Most thought the fight was much closer than that.

Where does Edgar go after losing his 3rd straight title fight in a row? He could make Featherweight his new home and climb to an Aldo rematch or he could go back to Lightweight. Either way, he was very upset at the post fight interview.  I hope he isn’t contemplating retirement because I can’t think of any Jose Aldo fight where I wasn’t sure if he won or not.

I don’t think many are left for Jose Aldo at Featherweight. I can think of 3 men; Ricardo Lamas, Dustin Poirier and Chan Sung Jung. If Aldo can get past them, he should move to Lightweight.

That’s UFC 156 for you! Here come 157!

ALDO EDGAR MMA INVASION BREAKDOWN

Im going to grade the divisions by how well rounded the fighters are. We’ll start with the Heavyweight division and work our way down from there.

Top 10 Heavyweights

1. Junior Dos Santos 2.Cain Velasquez 3.Alistair Overeem 4.Daniel Cormier 5.Frank Mir 6.Shane Carwin 7.Stephan Struve 8.Josh Barnett 9.Fabricio Werdum 10.Antonio Silva

6 out of 10 are primary grapplers with Velasquez,Cormier,Mir,Barnett,Werdum and Silva

3 out of 10 are primarily strikers with Dos Santos,Overeem and Carwin.

4 out of 10 are well rounded with Dos Santos, Velasquez,Cormier,Werdum. All 4 have good striking and a way to stay safe. Santos keeps it standing with takedown defense and the other 3 have very good graplling to fall back on if the fight isnt going their way.

Top 10 Light Heavyweights

1.Jon Jones 2. Dan Henderson 3.Lyoto Machida 4.Shogun Rua 5.Rashad Evans 6.Alexander Gustafsson 7.Phil Davis 8.Ryan Bader 9.Glover Teixeira 10.Rampage Jackson

4 out of 10 are primarily grapplers with Jones,Evans,Davis and Bader

6 out of 10 are primarily strikers with Henderson,Machida,Shogun,Gustafsson,Teixeira and Jackson

5 out of 10 are well rounded with Jones,Evans,Teixeira,Machida and Henderson. Anyone of these 5 can switch it up to best their opponent.

Top 10 Middleweights

1.Anderson Silva 2.Chael Sonnen 3.Chris Weidman 4.Yushin Okami 5. Vitor Belfort 6.Michael Bisping 7.Mark Munoz 8.Alan Belcher 9.Brian Stann 10.Tim Boetsch

6 are primarily strikers with Silva,Belfort,Bisping,Stann,Boetsch and Belcher

4 are primarily grapplers with Sonnen,Weidman,Okami,Munoz

3 are well rounded with Silva,Bisping and Weidman

Top 10 Welterweights

1.Georges St. Pierre 2.Johnny Hendricks 3.Rory Macdonald 4.Carlos Condit 5.Nick Diaz 6.Jon Fitch 7.Jake Ellenberger 8.Josh Koscheck 9.Martin Kampmann 10.Thiago Alves

6 are primarily strikers with Hendricks,Condit,Diaz,Kampmann,Alves and Ellenberger

2 are primarily grapplers with Koscheck and Fitch

5 are well rounded with GSP,Macdonald,Condit,Kampmann and Hendricks. All of them like to keep it standing but could take the fight to the ground if they so wished.

Top 10 Lightweights

1.Ben Henderson 2.Frankie Edgar 3.Nate Diaz 4.Jim Miller 5.Gray Maynard 6.Clay Guida 7.Donald Cerrone 8.Anthony Pettis 9.Joe Lauzon 10.Melvin Guillard

3 are primarily strikers with Diaz,Pettis and Guillard

4 are primarily grapplers with Miller,Guida,Maynard and Lauzon

3 are well rounded with Edgar,Henderson and Cerrone. Edgar and Henderson mix everything very well and Cerrone has such an excellent Jiu Jitsu game that he throws everything with %100 power without the fear of being taken down.

I have placed any fighters who have recently changed weight divisions in their long term class.

Results

HW Dos Santos, Velasquez,Cormier and Werdum. The HW division is far behind the rest of the UFC talent wise. Mostly relying on either punching power or the takedown.

LHW Jones,Evans,Teixeira,Machida and Henderson The LHW division is very diverse. Any 10 top fighter has a good chance at beating the other on any given day. You’ve got a solid group that has both punching power and a great grappling base to boot.

MW Silva,Bisping and Weidman.These 3 all have great striking and grappling but…there’s only 3. Also, neither have fought Silva.

WW GSP,Macdonald,Condit,Kampmann,Ellenberger and Hendricks. This is another great group with diverse striking,punching power and grappling. The welterweight rankings always change because everyone is so closely matched in the top 10.

LW Edgar,Henderson and Cerrone. Edgar has beaten everyone except Henderson with his quick mix of strikes and takedowns. Henderson has beat everyone who stood in his path since the UFC debut. Has beaten Edgar twice and Cerrone 3 times. These 3 seem to stand above the division.

I’d say that the Light Heavyweight and Welterweight Divisions tie for most depth with Lightweight a close 2nd. Heavyweight and Middleweight seem to lack any well rounded fighters that also have a chin. I guess GSP and Jon Jones have their hands full.

MMA INVASION

HENDRICKS

The definition of One Punch Power is to be able to knock your opponent out cold with a single punch. None of this dropping them to one knee trying to finish stuff. I’m talking about one huge right hand that puts them out cold and on their face. A pile of MMA fighters have this quality and it has kept their careers going.

Here’s a list off the top of my head;

Junior Dos Santos, Shane Carwin, Dan Henderson, Mark Hunt, Chris Leben,Daniel Cormier, Quentin Jackson, Alistair Overeem, Jake Ellenberger, Johnny Hendricks, Glover Teixeira, Chuck Liddell, Vitor Belfort, Melvin Guillard and Paul Daley.

The above list have made a career out of their punching power. Dan Henderson, Roy Nelson, Shane Carwin and Vitor Belfort basically just aim their right hand and land the KO. One hit KO power is the only reason these four keep getting the W.

Other fighters with very little KO power such as Edgar,Fitch or Maynard have to rely more so on other techniques rather than the 1 well aimed punch and its had them on the wrong end of some decisions.

The Championship level seems to be all about knockout power. Santos,Jones,Silva,GSP,Henderson,Aldo.

Though GSP and Benson aren’t knocking people out these days, GSP has his lunging jab sending people airbourne and Benson scores plenty of knockdowns. Santos,Jones,Silva and Aldo are all finishers mostly by strikes. Johnny Hendricks isnt in the Champion list but he has knocked out his last 2 opponents in 1 punch. 2 excellent chins in Kampmann and Fitch.One day he might even be champion. You never know.

Do you have punching power?

MMA INVASION

UFC_156_Aldo_Edgar

UFC 156 takes place on February 2 in the Mandalay Bay Events Center in Las Vegas.

UFC 156 Betting Odds

Jose “Scarface” Aldo -225 VS Frankie “The Answer” Edgar +200

Alistair Overeem VS Antonia “Bigfoot” Silva

Demian Maia VS Jon Fitch

Rashad Evans VS Antonio Nogueira

Jose Aldo VS Frankie Edgar

Frankie Edgar,14-3-1, is the only good thing to come out of Jersey Shore.Edgar has made his Lightweight career by being both the faster man in the octagon and walking around near fight weight. By cutting very little weight,The Answer has had zero problems with cardio and weight cutting but has sacrificed his punching power. Having most of his wins by decision, Frankie is primarily a point fighter, who outworks his opponents for the win. Frankie decided to make the drop to Featherweight after a 2 fight skid against current Lightweight Champion, Benson Henderson. Dropping to Featherweight to face Jose Aldo will be the biggest mistake of Edgar’s career.

Whoever created the phrase “Speed kills”, must have known Jose Aldo.  He is a wrecking machine with a shining record of  21-1; his only loss coming from a submission one year into his career. With 15 finishes in 21 bouts and only being in trouble once, Aldo looks like the only direction for him is up. Using flying knees, leg kicks and devastating power, Aldo makes his adversaries look like they belong on the undercard. In Aldo’s last UFC bout, he easily handled top Featherweight and undefeated wrestler, Chad “Money” Mendes.

The betting lines for this UFC Featherweight title fight should be closer to -300 +300. Jose Aldo will use his lightning fast leg kicks to put a dent in Frankie’s explosiveness and pick him apart from there. Edgar also seems susceptible to uppercuts, eating a few during the Maynard 2 and 3 fights, causing the momentum to switch hands. Jose Aldo has very good uppercuts and they are much faster than Gray Maynard’s.  If Mendes couldn’t get a hold of Aldo, I don’t see how Edgar does it. Frankie will no longer have the speed advantage  either because Jose Aldo is the much faster man this time around. Mark my words, Jose Aldo will be the first man to finish Frankie Edgar and it will be nasty.

Alistair Overeem VS Antonio Silva

I can’t find the odds for this bout but I’m assuming Alistair is opening as a huge favorite, probably in the realm of -350. This will be Overeem’s first fight after his suspension. After years of steroid allegations, Alistair failed his first surprise test at a Pre-fight Press conference. He tried to leave the Conference when he was told the test would happen and was told to stay,he fled claiming “He didnt understand” but was stopped on his way out. Alistair ended up hitting a whopping 14:1 testosterone ratio and continued to act surprised throughout the year suspension. To keep his career alive he went on an ” Im a clean fighter” rant and continued to submit tests monthly to prove he was clean. All the tests came back clean but looking at fight Expo pictures,he looks nowhere near the size he was when  he was still “a clean fighter”. That’s the kicker in his fight against Antonio Silva.

Silva is heavily overrated due to his win against Fedor and has lost his last 2 of 3 fights. His strength is his ground game but only because he uses brute force to sink in submissions. He won his last UFC bout because Travis Browne injured his hand and tore his hamstring early in the first. If that hadn’t happened, I believe I wouldn’t be doing this breakdown.

We will see if Alistair still has his same punching power now that he’s a “clean fighter”. I’m picking Overeem to win this by KO. I will have a great time if he gets dropped and stopped by Silva, considering this is a set up for a quick title shot.

Demian Maia VS Jon Fitch

Chances are good that Maia will get the usual Fitch treatment in this one. Unless New Fitch turns up and tries to put on an exciting performance, Demian Maia will be held down and nullified for a boring 15 minutes. If I need to fall asleep in a hurry, I turn on a Jon Fitch fight. Seriously though, if you have a skill that nobody but GSP can stop, keep using it!

Maia has had great success since his drop to the Welterweight Division, finishing both Rick Story and Don Hyun Kim in the first round. He faces Jon Fitch next, A fight I’ve always wanted to see but didn’t think would happen, at UFC 156. Here’s hoping Maia’s top notch Jiu-Jitsu comes through for him and he can have more success in Welterweight then he did at Middleweight. This whole fight comes down to if Fitch makes a small mistake, enough for Demian to capitalize on to get the W. Maia’s striking isnt good enough to finish Fitch and I think Jon is going to look to take this straight to the ground regardless of Maia’s ground accomplishments. Jon Fitch is more than likely going to nullify Maia but I hope Demian pulls something and gets his hand raised.

Rashad Evans VS Antonio Nogueira

Evans VS Nogueira is a mismatch if I ever saw one. Holding a record of 17-2, Rashad Evans is destined for another title shot sometime soon. After winning the Ultimate Fighter 2 as a Heavyweight, Rashad went undefeated and won the Light Heavyweight Title via KO against Forrest Griffin. Evans sadly succumbed to the Light Heavyweight Title curse shortly after, losing the Title in his next fight to Lyoto Machida via KO. Rashad Evans came back to put together unanimous decisions over; Thiago Silva, Quentin Jackson, Phil Davis and stopping Tito Ortiz with body shots. He failed to regain the Light Heavyweight Title from Jon “Bones” Jones in his next fight, losing by unanimous decision after a close first round. I expect Evans to come back even stronger than before.

Antonio Nogueira, currently 5-2 in the UFC, was on a 2 fight skid until finishing Tito Ortiz in the same fashion. He was dominated by Phil Davis, who Evans had no problem with, and lost to Ryan Bader previous to thatNogueira has had trouble with aggressive wrestlers in the UFC that keep the pressure on and Evans is just that. Rashad Evans wins this fight by unanimous decision.

UFC 156 Breakdown Aldo Edgar Fitch Maia  Overeem Silva Evans Nogueira

MMA INVASION