Posts Tagged ‘Sonnen’

UFC 159 BREAKDOWN

Posted: April 21, 2013 in Breakdowns
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Jim Miller VS Pat Healy

To me, this looks like a gimme fight to get Jim Miller back on track. Jim has 4 losses on his record, 2 former champions and 2 #1 contenders. I don’t see Pat Healy even putting a dent in him. I wouldnt even go as far as to say he has a chance. Miller uses anything in his arsenal to turn Healy’s 16 losses into 17.

PAT HEALY SUBMITS JIM MILLER IN ROUND 3 VIA REAR-NAKED CHOKE <–I did not see this coming

Phil Davis VS Vinny Magalhaes

Even though Vinny is a 2.5 to 1 for odds, I like the ADCC champion’s chances here. Davis hasn’t been to the ground with any high level BJJ players since Little Nog, who traded in his ground game for boxing. There is the odd chance that Davis tries to keep this standing because he is the better striker,  but I bet he sticks to his bread and butter and goes for the takedown. If Vinny is going for the sub win here, he better do it in the 1st round because thats all his gas tank has to offer. I love these Wrestler VS BJJ match ups. This’ll be a good one.

After a close first round, Phil Davis rode to a unanimous decision

Roy Nelson VS Cheick Kongo

Kongo is a tall, cut heavyweight who looks like he should KO everyone. He doesn’t. Nelson is a shorter, obese heavyweight who looks like he belongs on reality TV. He has amazing KO power. If you have a suspect chin, chances are good Roy Nelson puts you down. He counters his opponents with a devestating overhand right and most of the time, one is enough to send them wobbling. Unfortunately, his cardio is possibly the worst in MMA. Half way through round 1 you will see Roy gassing. If Kongo can avoid the big shot in Round 1, I see him taking this by handily out striking a tired Nelson.

Nelson KO’d Kongo early in the first

Michael Bisping VS Alan Belcher

Bisping has the advantage anywhere this fight goes, having better striking and wrestling than Belcher. Alan Belcher was on a 4 fight win streak before having an awful showing in a rematch against Yushin Okami. The deciding factor in this bout will be the level of competition each has faced. Belcher has flopped against low tier fighters like Kendall Grove and Jason Day whereas Bisping only seems to lose to the top 5. Michael Bisping is the wolf that eats the sheep. Sadly, he has to step aside when another wolf comes along. Bisping takes this by keeping Belcher at the end of his jab while setting up for the big shots, wearing him down for a later round TKO

Michael Bisping gets the technical decision via eyepoke but had Belcher handily beat anyway.

Jon Jones VS Chael Sonnen

Chael Sonnen got this fight from trash talk and trash talk alone. After a decisive TKO loss to Anderson Silva, the UFC Brass decided it was good for business to give Sonnen a shot at Jon Jones’ gold. Chael has done most of the promotion for this fight while Jones has apologized for his only comment I can recall. Jon Jones, the 9 to 1 favourite, is better anywhere this fight goes. Chael needs to clinch to get this to the ground and Jones is a clinch throw expert, dislocating Hamill’s shoulder with one earlier in his career. Chael is heavily disadvantaged on the feet with technique, reach and size. His gameplan will be to throw some jabs, straights and change some levels on his way to the obvious double leg on Jones. Jon had the perfect game plan for Vera, Bader, Rua and Rampage. I dont see why he won’t have one for the guy who does the same thing every fight. Jones remains champion and Sonnen’s trash talk fails to hype his next fight.

Jones TKO’d Sonnen late in the 1st round after Sonnen put up very little offense.

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Always contender but never a champion, Michael Bisping. He is probably one of the most overlooked and underrated fighters in the UFC. The betting lines are always close as if Bisping was a gatekeeper to the lower level of the division yet has a record of 23-4. Michael Bisping has only lost to Rashad Evans, Dan Henderson, Wanderlei Silva and Chael Sonnen with Henderson being the only one able to finish him. The Rashad Evans loss was a split decision that had Bisping moving to Middleweight and the Sonnen fight was razor thin and could’ve gone either way. The Count has 18 finishes out of his 23 career wins yet is still considered a point fighter by many. Deemed to have no punching power yet knocking people out.

The one thing Michael Bisping doesn’t have is “One Punch Power”. He has never landed that one punch that puts his opponent out cold and its probably one of the reasons he is always overlooked in the title picture. Lyoto Machida was criticized for the same thing and began focusing on punching power. The Dragon soon knocked out Thiago Silva and Rashad Evans in back to back KO wins. Maybe Bisping could learn from Lyoto.

Michael Bisping faces Brazilian Superstar and fan favourite,Vitor Belfort, at UFC ON FX 7. Let’s hope he can outlast The Phenom and get his well deserved title shot. After all, Sonnen got a title shot VS Jon Jones on pure trash talk. Next stop, Anderson Silva.

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A Superfight consists of 2 champions that are seemingly unbeatable to pick a weight and fight each other. Two of them are Silva VS Jones and GSP VS Silva. The two fights the fans want to see. Sadly, I don’t think any will ever happen. Superfights are constantly brought up and nothing comes of it. I personally don’t think we should have any UFC Superfights and I doubt the UFC wants them either. When you have a Superfight, both fighters will enter the octagon with their ticket selling”mystique” and one will leave without it. Everytime the losing fighter has a match afterward, fans will ALWAYS say “Remember when Fighter A got KOed by Fighter B with ‘Insert Technique'”. Regardless of the above, here are my  two Superfight Breakdowns!

GSP VS Silva

Pierre’s takedowns would not be nearly as effective because Silva has a large reach,height and weight advantage here. Stuffing the takedown would be much easier for Silva then Georges’ previous opponents, though I’d think some would get through. I would really like to see how the striking match goes with these two technical strikers.

The Middleweight Division has very weak striking in comparison to the other divisions. Just looking at striking alone, lets review their respective opponents since 2006.

Anderson Silva – Leben,Franklin,Marquardt,Henderson,Irvin,Cote,Leites,Griffin,Maia,Sonnen,Belfort,Okami,Bonnar

All either have a ground base with limited striking or are brawlers.

Georges St. Pierre – Penn,Hughes,Serra,Koscheck,Fitch,Alves,Hardy,Shields,Condit

Penn,Alves and Condit are decorated strikers and everyone else is mainly ground based. Koscheck is in the middle and Hardy never belonged in the title picture.

Anderson Silva fights mostly Brawlers who try to stand with him or wrestlers who cant capitalize on the takedown.  GSP fights some pretty good strikers and outwrestles everyone with what seems like ease.

I’d say that Anderson Silva probably takes this in the end, but I have no idea how he’d handle a very technical and well rounded martial artist in GSP. That right there sells the tickets for this Superfight.

Jones VS Silva

This is the fight that everyone wants to see. Would Jones dominate Silva to a (T)KO victory or will the precision of Anderson catch Jon off guard?

Jon Jones has faced MUCH better competition than Anderson. Lets overview all his UFC fights before he became champion.

Gusmao,Bonnar,O’Brien,Hamill,Vera,Matyushenko,Bader,Shogun

He beat the above with little to no trouble from anyone but Bonnar using his striking and wrestling. Bonnar is the only one on the list that was not finished. Jones beat Shogun for the title and became both the first one to finish Mauricio via strikes and the youngest UFC Champion.

Now, Let’s look at the Jon Jones, The UFC Champion.

Jackson,Machida,Evans,Belfort

3 were top contenders, 3 were finished. Jackson was tapped,Machida was choked out, Evans turtled for the last 3 rounds and Belfort was submitted.

Though he finished Machida and Belfort, It showed holes in both his striking and top game which he has probably sealed by now. He fights Chael Sonnen for the UFC Light Heavyweight Title next. I don’t see Sonnen giving him any trouble because he is better in all areas. Sonnen can definitely talk the talk but doesnt seem to walk the walk when the time comes.

In the end, I’d give a small edge to  Jones. Anderson has a problem with strong wrestling bases. He always overcomes it and finishes the fight but  nobody in MMA has a more vicious top game than Jon “Bones” Jones.

There’s my UFC Superfight Breakdown!

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