Posts Tagged ‘title’

UFC 157 Rousey Carmouche Hendo Machida Urijah Faber Menjivar

Ronda Rousey VS Liz Carmouche

I think this  fight lasts as long as it takes Rousey to get an Over-Under hook. As much as I’d like to see Ronda finished and humbled, Carmouche will be outmatched on the ground and doesn’t have the takedown defense needed to keep it standing. Ronda Rousey has let all the hype go to her head and is not the same person that she started out as. Regardless of my views on her,She still wins this by armbar before the 3 minute mark. making her record 7-0.

Dan Henderson VS Lyoto Machida

This fight is tailor made for Machida. It’s counter striker versus power puncher. There’s one catch though, the power puncher is Dan Henderson. Lyoto Machida’s technical striking should be the answer to winning this. His goal is to keep his distant from Henderson’s right hand and land shots on the move. Lyoto needs to frustrate Dan enough to get him throwing wildly and taking chances. This will open him up for the critical shots and tire him, which is what Machida needs to get a unanimous decision.

Henderson needs to cut Machida off against the cage and keep him there. The chances of this are slim because Lyoto is very elusive and I don’t think Henderson is in the business of game plans. The majority of Dan’s recent opponents have stood in front of him; Shogun,Bisping,Cavalcante,Sobral and Fedor.  I see Dan over relying on his right hand and hoping he lands. There is still a chance that Dan wins with this method because he’s been on the losing end of fights and turned the tides with one.

Machida has KOed 3 men who have never been KOed but I still think he  takes this by unanimous decision.

Urijah Faber VS Ivan Menjivar

Since their respective UFC debuts, Faber has gone 2-2 and Menjivar 4-1. At first glance, Menjivar has had a better time in the UFC. This is not the case, however, Ivan didn’t fight Bantamweight Champions Cruz or Barao. Faber has fought much harder competition since his UFC debut and that will be the deciding factor in this rematch. Their first fight ended with Menjivar kicking Faber in the head while on the ground, resulting in a DQ.

Ivan hasn’t been finished since 2002, where he was KOed by GSP and submitted by Jason Black. Urijah Faber has been KOed twice in his career by Mike Brown in 08 and Tyson Griffin in 05. I see Urijah winning this by decision. I don’t see anywhere Ivan is better than him. I also don’t see either one being able to challenge Cruz though.

Josh Koscheck VS Robbie Lawler

Since Lawler’s Strikeforce debut, he has never had back to back wins and his only impressive moment in 9 Strikeforce bouts was his flying knee KO of Adlan Amagov. He is coming over to the UFC on a loss and is probably part of a plan to get Koscheck back in the win column. Upsets have happened with Josh as the favourite before. He was KO’ed by Paulo Thiago in highlight reel fashion and choked out by Drew Fickett. I see Koscheck using his wrestling to win this by unanimous decision and not  take any chances on the feet with the heavy hitting Lawler.

MMA INVASION

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UFC 156 takes place on February 2 in the Mandalay Bay Events Center in Las Vegas.

UFC 156 Betting Odds

Jose “Scarface” Aldo -225 VS Frankie “The Answer” Edgar +200

Alistair Overeem VS Antonia “Bigfoot” Silva

Demian Maia VS Jon Fitch

Rashad Evans VS Antonio Nogueira

Jose Aldo VS Frankie Edgar

Frankie Edgar,14-3-1, is the only good thing to come out of Jersey Shore.Edgar has made his Lightweight career by being both the faster man in the octagon and walking around near fight weight. By cutting very little weight,The Answer has had zero problems with cardio and weight cutting but has sacrificed his punching power. Having most of his wins by decision, Frankie is primarily a point fighter, who outworks his opponents for the win. Frankie decided to make the drop to Featherweight after a 2 fight skid against current Lightweight Champion, Benson Henderson. Dropping to Featherweight to face Jose Aldo will be the biggest mistake of Edgar’s career.

Whoever created the phrase “Speed kills”, must have known Jose Aldo.  He is a wrecking machine with a shining record of  21-1; his only loss coming from a submission one year into his career. With 15 finishes in 21 bouts and only being in trouble once, Aldo looks like the only direction for him is up. Using flying knees, leg kicks and devastating power, Aldo makes his adversaries look like they belong on the undercard. In Aldo’s last UFC bout, he easily handled top Featherweight and undefeated wrestler, Chad “Money” Mendes.

The betting lines for this UFC Featherweight title fight should be closer to -300 +300. Jose Aldo will use his lightning fast leg kicks to put a dent in Frankie’s explosiveness and pick him apart from there. Edgar also seems susceptible to uppercuts, eating a few during the Maynard 2 and 3 fights, causing the momentum to switch hands. Jose Aldo has very good uppercuts and they are much faster than Gray Maynard’s.  If Mendes couldn’t get a hold of Aldo, I don’t see how Edgar does it. Frankie will no longer have the speed advantage  either because Jose Aldo is the much faster man this time around. Mark my words, Jose Aldo will be the first man to finish Frankie Edgar and it will be nasty.

Alistair Overeem VS Antonio Silva

I can’t find the odds for this bout but I’m assuming Alistair is opening as a huge favorite, probably in the realm of -350. This will be Overeem’s first fight after his suspension. After years of steroid allegations, Alistair failed his first surprise test at a Pre-fight Press conference. He tried to leave the Conference when he was told the test would happen and was told to stay,he fled claiming “He didnt understand” but was stopped on his way out. Alistair ended up hitting a whopping 14:1 testosterone ratio and continued to act surprised throughout the year suspension. To keep his career alive he went on an ” Im a clean fighter” rant and continued to submit tests monthly to prove he was clean. All the tests came back clean but looking at fight Expo pictures,he looks nowhere near the size he was when  he was still “a clean fighter”. That’s the kicker in his fight against Antonio Silva.

Silva is heavily overrated due to his win against Fedor and has lost his last 2 of 3 fights. His strength is his ground game but only because he uses brute force to sink in submissions. He won his last UFC bout because Travis Browne injured his hand and tore his hamstring early in the first. If that hadn’t happened, I believe I wouldn’t be doing this breakdown.

We will see if Alistair still has his same punching power now that he’s a “clean fighter”. I’m picking Overeem to win this by KO. I will have a great time if he gets dropped and stopped by Silva, considering this is a set up for a quick title shot.

Demian Maia VS Jon Fitch

Chances are good that Maia will get the usual Fitch treatment in this one. Unless New Fitch turns up and tries to put on an exciting performance, Demian Maia will be held down and nullified for a boring 15 minutes. If I need to fall asleep in a hurry, I turn on a Jon Fitch fight. Seriously though, if you have a skill that nobody but GSP can stop, keep using it!

Maia has had great success since his drop to the Welterweight Division, finishing both Rick Story and Don Hyun Kim in the first round. He faces Jon Fitch next, A fight I’ve always wanted to see but didn’t think would happen, at UFC 156. Here’s hoping Maia’s top notch Jiu-Jitsu comes through for him and he can have more success in Welterweight then he did at Middleweight. This whole fight comes down to if Fitch makes a small mistake, enough for Demian to capitalize on to get the W. Maia’s striking isnt good enough to finish Fitch and I think Jon is going to look to take this straight to the ground regardless of Maia’s ground accomplishments. Jon Fitch is more than likely going to nullify Maia but I hope Demian pulls something and gets his hand raised.

Rashad Evans VS Antonio Nogueira

Evans VS Nogueira is a mismatch if I ever saw one. Holding a record of 17-2, Rashad Evans is destined for another title shot sometime soon. After winning the Ultimate Fighter 2 as a Heavyweight, Rashad went undefeated and won the Light Heavyweight Title via KO against Forrest Griffin. Evans sadly succumbed to the Light Heavyweight Title curse shortly after, losing the Title in his next fight to Lyoto Machida via KO. Rashad Evans came back to put together unanimous decisions over; Thiago Silva, Quentin Jackson, Phil Davis and stopping Tito Ortiz with body shots. He failed to regain the Light Heavyweight Title from Jon “Bones” Jones in his next fight, losing by unanimous decision after a close first round. I expect Evans to come back even stronger than before.

Antonio Nogueira, currently 5-2 in the UFC, was on a 2 fight skid until finishing Tito Ortiz in the same fashion. He was dominated by Phil Davis, who Evans had no problem with, and lost to Ryan Bader previous to thatNogueira has had trouble with aggressive wrestlers in the UFC that keep the pressure on and Evans is just that. Rashad Evans wins this fight by unanimous decision.

UFC 156 Breakdown Aldo Edgar Fitch Maia  Overeem Silva Evans Nogueira

MMA INVASION

The champion that should’ve been, Shane Carwin. Carwin jump started his MMA career with 11 Brutal finishes all before the 2:12 mark. His combined in-cage time from his first 11 fights is just over 2 rounds at 10:22. Most fighters take more time in their first fight then Carwin did for the majority of his career.

Shane would face Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu fighter, Frank Mir, in his 12th MMA bout. Frank Mir, a UFC veteran with 9 of 16 wins coming by submission, had a history of taking his opponents down and breaking their limbs. Mir has even bragged about snapping arms in training camp. I always thought you wouldn’t crank an arm at %100 out of respect for your training partner but I guess that’s just me. Frank had recently put on 25 pounds of muscle in a very short period of time to “close the gap” against the larger heavyweights. This didn’t help. Shane clinched Mir up against the cage and delivered vicious and rapid uppercuts. Mir’s knees buckled and he dropped to the ground. Carwin took his back and continued slamming his 4XL gloves into Frank Mir’s face for one of the latest stoppages I can recall.

After a dominant performance against Mir, Shane Carwin was in the title picture to face Brock Lesnar of WWE fame for the UFC Heavyweight Championship.  This fight wasn’t looking any different then the previous ones. After having his takedown stuffed, Lesnar was nailed with a huge uppercut and knocked backwards following a barrage of punches that sent him to the canvas. Brock then turtled from ground-and-pound for about 3 1/2 minutes while the referee,Josh Rosenthal, told Brock “Stay active” and “Im gonna stop the fight”. With UFC Gold on his mind, Carwin increased his punch frequency to secure the stoppage that was surely to come. It didn’t. The buzzer sounded as Rosenthal continued to warn Lesnar of the stoppage. I remember staring at my television wondering why it wasn’t stopped because it was the most one sided round in history. I would’ve given it a 10-7 for Carwin. Give the man his gold!

Round 2 starts and Shane Carwin is obviously not all there. The “Punch Out” in round 1 had taken a noticeable toll on him. Lesnar smiles and Shane winks before the round commences. Only they know what that was about. The Frank Mir curse kicks in and Shane gets taken down immediately with virtually no resistance. Brock Lesnar’s corner talks him through an arm triangle step by step like he’s 5 years old. Brock Lesnar taps out Carwin and gets up on the cage and begins punching himself in the chin to show he can take a hit. Both of his eyes are cut below and 1 is slightly closed. I still can’t believe this Championship fight for the UFC title wasn’t stopped in the first.

Here’s were injuries make a promising career go a little south.

Shane Carwin would finally get long awaited back surgery, claiming to have been plagued in earlier fights. After a long hiatus, Carwin would finally return but the Beast was no more. Carwin had become much smaller and looked nowhere near as intimidating.

His next and most recent fight to date was against former UFC Champion, Junior Dos Santos. Santos was not the champion at this point but soon would be.

Shane Carwin took the worst beating that I have seen in a long time. He definitely has a chin though. Outpunched 104-22 and knocked down in the 1st round. Carwins face looked like a train wreck at the end of round 3.

That is the last time we’ve seen Shane Carwin in the Octagon. He was a Coach on TUF 16. Set to face Roy Nelson in the Finale until He blew out his knee in training.

Injury after injury, Shane Carwin’s career seems to be dwindling at Age 37.

Get well soon, Shane. Bring the Beast back!

Fight stats Courtesy of http://www.fightmetric.com

Shane Carwin’s post-fight face http://mmastreamed.com/wp-content/uploads/mvbthumbs/img_23151_carwin-face-after-junior-dos-santos-fight.jpg Courtesy of http://www.mmastreamed.com

Shane Carwin’s website http://www.shane-carwin.com

BISPING BELFORT STAREDOWN

UFC ON FX 7 Betting Odds

Vitor Belfort -125 VS Michael Bisping -105

The odds might as well be even in this fight. Its Belfort’s 1 punch KO power VS Bisping’s gas tank for this 5 Round War!

Vitor Belfort goes into every fight with the same plan, Land early. Unfortunately, if this doesn’t prevail, he seems to fade. In Belfort’s last 6 fights, he has had 3 stoppages by quick KO, a submission victory over Anthony Johnson and 2 losses to champions Silva and Jones.

Bisping has outworked 7 of his last 10 opponents. Only ever being finished once in his career by Dan Henderson. Every time “The Count” seems deserving of the title picture, He gets dropped down the ladder. Dan Henderson’s right hand, Wanderlei Silva’s relentless attack and the wrestling of Chael Sonnen are responsible. Nevertheless, Michael Bisping is still very much a top contender in the Middleweight division.

I cant make a for sure pick for this fight because it comes down to few things. Either “The Phenom” lands early, capitalizing on  Bisping’s horrible first round head movement. “The Count” survives the early onslaught and has his cardio be the deciding factor in the later rounds.

The possible improvement of Bisping’s jab is a major factor here. Michael Bisping is praised for his jab by the UFC commentators. Unfortunately, it’s not that great. It’s his frequency and accuracy of the jab that wins him fights. A proper jab setup keeps your shoulder and hand high. Michael keeps his hand at mid height and doesn’t tuck his shoulder to block any counter strikes. This is why you will see him get knocked down in the first round by many fighters not touted for their striking game. He also circles to his left during the jab, making the impact of the jab weaker by not planting his feet.  This was blatantly obvious during the Henderson fight. This served as Santos’ demise against Velasquez in their rematch.

Michael Bisping always seems to fail his “step up” to prove himself. If any of the above hasn’t improved, Vitor takes this in the first and Michael “Always Contender never Champ” Bisping drops down the Middleweight ladder once again.

Bisping VS Vitor trailer – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oMUvGEoJbbw

RESULTS: Bisping lost in the 2nd round via headkick after barely surviving the first.

MMA INVASION