Posts Tagged ‘sub’

Roy Nelson lands an overhand right on Cheick Kongo for the KO finish

MMA INVASION

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UFC 159 BREAKDOWN

Posted: April 21, 2013 in Breakdowns
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Jim Miller VS Pat Healy

To me, this looks like a gimme fight to get Jim Miller back on track. Jim has 4 losses on his record, 2 former champions and 2 #1 contenders. I don’t see Pat Healy even putting a dent in him. I wouldnt even go as far as to say he has a chance. Miller uses anything in his arsenal to turn Healy’s 16 losses into 17.

PAT HEALY SUBMITS JIM MILLER IN ROUND 3 VIA REAR-NAKED CHOKE <–I did not see this coming

Phil Davis VS Vinny Magalhaes

Even though Vinny is a 2.5 to 1 for odds, I like the ADCC champion’s chances here. Davis hasn’t been to the ground with any high level BJJ players since Little Nog, who traded in his ground game for boxing. There is the odd chance that Davis tries to keep this standing because he is the better striker,  but I bet he sticks to his bread and butter and goes for the takedown. If Vinny is going for the sub win here, he better do it in the 1st round because thats all his gas tank has to offer. I love these Wrestler VS BJJ match ups. This’ll be a good one.

After a close first round, Phil Davis rode to a unanimous decision

Roy Nelson VS Cheick Kongo

Kongo is a tall, cut heavyweight who looks like he should KO everyone. He doesn’t. Nelson is a shorter, obese heavyweight who looks like he belongs on reality TV. He has amazing KO power. If you have a suspect chin, chances are good Roy Nelson puts you down. He counters his opponents with a devestating overhand right and most of the time, one is enough to send them wobbling. Unfortunately, his cardio is possibly the worst in MMA. Half way through round 1 you will see Roy gassing. If Kongo can avoid the big shot in Round 1, I see him taking this by handily out striking a tired Nelson.

Nelson KO’d Kongo early in the first

Michael Bisping VS Alan Belcher

Bisping has the advantage anywhere this fight goes, having better striking and wrestling than Belcher. Alan Belcher was on a 4 fight win streak before having an awful showing in a rematch against Yushin Okami. The deciding factor in this bout will be the level of competition each has faced. Belcher has flopped against low tier fighters like Kendall Grove and Jason Day whereas Bisping only seems to lose to the top 5. Michael Bisping is the wolf that eats the sheep. Sadly, he has to step aside when another wolf comes along. Bisping takes this by keeping Belcher at the end of his jab while setting up for the big shots, wearing him down for a later round TKO

Michael Bisping gets the technical decision via eyepoke but had Belcher handily beat anyway.

Jon Jones VS Chael Sonnen

Chael Sonnen got this fight from trash talk and trash talk alone. After a decisive TKO loss to Anderson Silva, the UFC Brass decided it was good for business to give Sonnen a shot at Jon Jones’ gold. Chael has done most of the promotion for this fight while Jones has apologized for his only comment I can recall. Jon Jones, the 9 to 1 favourite, is better anywhere this fight goes. Chael needs to clinch to get this to the ground and Jones is a clinch throw expert, dislocating Hamill’s shoulder with one earlier in his career. Chael is heavily disadvantaged on the feet with technique, reach and size. His gameplan will be to throw some jabs, straights and change some levels on his way to the obvious double leg on Jones. Jon had the perfect game plan for Vera, Bader, Rua and Rampage. I dont see why he won’t have one for the guy who does the same thing every fight. Jones remains champion and Sonnen’s trash talk fails to hype his next fight.

Jones TKO’d Sonnen late in the 1st round after Sonnen put up very little offense.

MMA INVASION

Georges St Pierre VS Nick Diaz

“Stockton Motherf***er!”. The king of talking crap and the Stockton Slap,Nick Diaz. Rarely does a fighter coming off a loss get the opportunity to fight for the title, but when the iron is still hot you should probably strike.

Sporting a record of 26-8,Nick Diaz brawls like no other. He uses his famous Diaz boxing to get the job done,mixing in pot shots with the weak to surprise his opponent. In 2009, Frank Shamrock criticized Diaz boxing from the pre-fight interviews to the body shot that dropped him to the mat.  If you ask him about it today, he’ll praise the style.

The Stockton Native has no fear or common sense, Relentlessly attacking Paul Daley in a 2011 Strikeforce bout  turned boxing match. Diaz punched his way to a TKO after getting dropped earlier in the round. Fighters with the high level ground game that Diaz possesses would NEVER stand with Daley. I guess recklessness prevails sometimes.

Nick Diaz has had trouble with wrestlers in the past. He lost 3 in a row in 2006 to Sanchez,Riggs and Sherk. Nick also lost a split to Karo Parisyan  in ’04. Since his rise to fame in Strikeforce, he has never signed to fight a single wrestler. 5 strikers followed by his UFC re-debut against BJ Penn and a loss to Carlos Condit. Condit was also his first well rounded striker in years and he couldn’t mount much of an offense in 25 minutes seeing as Carlos didn’t stand in front of him. GSP will be the first wrestler he fought since ’06 against Sean Sherk

Georges St. Pierre, The current and most dominant Welterweight Champion ever seen in the UFC. Once fighting like a man possessed, with 14 fights and 10 early finishes, Matt Serra‘s come-from-behind upset victory changed him. After beating Serra in the rematch by TKO, he went on to have 6 of his next 7 fights go to the judges. He was so afraid to risk anything anymore that he traded in his arsenal for a lunging jab and a gymnastics class.

His wrestling is his main weapon these days. Georges‘ wrestling technique is so far above the competition that after the takedown is secured, you can guarantee yourself a couple minutes to grab something from the kitchen. His takedowns are nothing special though, it’s all in his delivery, making you think you’re in a striking match and then shooting on you. Diaz will not have a chance against GSP. Though he plays it safe nowadays, his arsenal of; lunging jabs, superman punches and spinning kicks, should pass the Diaz boxing test. If not, His wrestling will be more than enough to nullify Nick for a unanimous decision. This will be the best beat down GSP has ever given. Let’s just hope Nick Diaz doesn’t fail the Pre-fight drug test and shows up for the fight. This will prove he doesn’t belong in the title picture at WW.

My Prediction : GSP takes this by unanimous decision. GSP WON A UNI DEC

Johny Hendricks VS Carlos Condit

Carlos Condit‘s striking GREATLY improved since his UFC debut. He began putting more power behind his punches, knocking out Dan Hardy and Dong Hyun Kim in back to back wins early in the first round. He gave Georges St Pierre one of the toughest fights of his career in his last outing, won a Fight of the Night award for his performance, kept the best wrestler in the UFC away from side control and even knocked him down with a well placed head kick in the third.

Fear the beard! Johny Hendricks is the definition of one punch power. Known for knocking out Martin Kampmann and Jon Fitch in a combined 58 seconds. His only loss is a unanimous decision to Rick Story that showed holes in his wrestling game. Many thought he deserved a shot at GSP after those 58 seconds in the cage but it never came around. Instead, Johny has another obstacle in his path, Carlos Condit.

My Prediction : Carlos Condit takes this either by KO or a 1 sided unanimous decision. HENDRICKS WON A CONTROVERSIAL DECISION AFTER BEING OUTSTRUCK

Jake Ellenberger VS Nate Marquardt

Jake entered the UFC on a low note, losing a split decision to Carlos Condit. He rebounded by knocking out 4 of his next 6 opponents, including the never before finished Jake Shields, and developed a name for himself as a power puncher. Ellenberger goes for the knockout with every single punch he throws. This could be the reason he can’t make it to round 3. He recently suffered a knockout loss at the hands of Martin Kampmann. After a succesful left hook knockdown followed by a barrage of punches, Ellenberger found himself on the receiving end of a guillotine choke attempt that lasted most of the round. Out of gas in round 2, Jake‘s punches didn’t do as much damage. He may have bloodied Kampmann but eventually succumbed to some knees from the thai clinch ending this main event. He rebounded by redeeming one of his losses, beating Jay Heiron by unanimous decision.

Nate Marquardt is 2-2 in his last 4 fights, getting badly beat by Saffiedine and losing a close decison to Yushin Okami. He regained the spotlight with his win against Tyrone Woodley, acquiring the Strikeforce Welterweight Title. He was cut from the UFC for “failing medical requirements” and also popped for nandrolone in his original debut. Though Nate has issues with defending a strong wrestlers takedown, he has the tools to pull this off if he plays it safe, weathering the early storm and taking it into the later rounds. We will have to see if he passes the pre and post fight tests.

My Prediction : Jake Ellenberger finishes this with a TKO before Round 3 ELLENBERGER KO’D MARQUARDT EARLY IN THE 1ST ROUND

MMA INVASION

Demian Maia fighting at Welterweight

Maia came into his fight with one thing on his mind; submitting Jon Fitch. Fitch has possibly the best sub defense in the world and Demian Maia spend 3 rounds trying to break it. Maia spent 15 minutes clinging to Jon Fitch like extra strength velcro, but it seems Jon Fitch is a safe that can not be cracked. Maia completely nullfied Jon Fitch’s game plan, getting  himself the unanimous decision and is now part of the very few men to beat Jon Fitch.

Alistair Overeem is not a Legend

Bigfoot Silva VS Alistair Overeem was supposed to happen in Strikeforce, but when the fight got pushed forward a week, it interfered in Overeem’s “schedule”. After failing a surprise drug test and hitting a testosterone level of 14:1, Alistair was suspended for a year regardless of “not knowing it was put in his system”. During his suspension, Overeem went on a “Clean Fighter” rant and submitted repeated clean tests. After his suspension was up, this matchup was put together. Overeem came into it with considerably less muscle definition, less punching power and a cocky defense. He was efficiently put in his place with a flurry 25 seconds into round 3. The legend is no more and the UFC’s Top Heavyweights can happily carry on without him. Let’s have Junior Dos Santos check that chin if he wants a comeback fight. Joe Silva, make it happen!

Rashad Evans’ Gameplan

I don’t know what Rashad Evans’ gameplan was, but I assumed he would come in with the same plan Ryan Bader and Phil Davis used to best Nog; striking mixed with constant takedowns. This was not the case. Evans’ boxing was very sloppy and uncoordinated. He tried to counter Rogerio’s jab with his own so many times that Nog started to see it coming. He continuously backed up instead of weaving and ate a bunch of straights for his troubles.

The point of weaving is to get around your opponents strike and leave them wide open for a counter.  There were many opportunities for Rashad to use a weave to close the distance. He chose to once, got inside the pocket, but never capitalized on it.

He went for 3 takedowns that I noticed and did not mix striking into their set up causing them to be very telegraphed and basically stuffed. Huge credit to Rogerio Nogueira for getting a W over Rashad but I’m pretty sure Jon Jones broke his will. The Evans that showed up tonight would’ve been easily KOed by Anderson.

Aldo and Edgar

This Super Fight played out much differently than I had imagined. I expected Jose Aldo to take out Frankie Edgar in the 1st or 2nd round but the uppercut finish never came. Instead, Frankie went toe to toe with Jose Aldo, without the hesitation that other fighters have shown. I expected a split decison but in the Judges’ eyes, Aldo got the better of Edgar for four of the rounds. Four 10-9’s was enough for him to keep his Featherweight Title away from Frankie Edgar. Most thought the fight was much closer than that.

Where does Edgar go after losing his 3rd straight title fight in a row? He could make Featherweight his new home and climb to an Aldo rematch or he could go back to Lightweight. Either way, he was very upset at the post fight interview.  I hope he isn’t contemplating retirement because I can’t think of any Jose Aldo fight where I wasn’t sure if he won or not.

I don’t think many are left for Jose Aldo at Featherweight. I can think of 3 men; Ricardo Lamas, Dustin Poirier and Chan Sung Jung. If Aldo can get past them, he should move to Lightweight.

That’s UFC 156 for you! Here come 157!

ALDO EDGAR MMA INVASION BREAKDOWN

A Superfight consists of 2 champions that are seemingly unbeatable to pick a weight and fight each other. Two of them are Silva VS Jones and GSP VS Silva. The two fights the fans want to see. Sadly, I don’t think any will ever happen. Superfights are constantly brought up and nothing comes of it. I personally don’t think we should have any UFC Superfights and I doubt the UFC wants them either. When you have a Superfight, both fighters will enter the octagon with their ticket selling”mystique” and one will leave without it. Everytime the losing fighter has a match afterward, fans will ALWAYS say “Remember when Fighter A got KOed by Fighter B with ‘Insert Technique'”. Regardless of the above, here are my  two Superfight Breakdowns!

GSP VS Silva

Pierre’s takedowns would not be nearly as effective because Silva has a large reach,height and weight advantage here. Stuffing the takedown would be much easier for Silva then Georges’ previous opponents, though I’d think some would get through. I would really like to see how the striking match goes with these two technical strikers.

The Middleweight Division has very weak striking in comparison to the other divisions. Just looking at striking alone, lets review their respective opponents since 2006.

Anderson Silva – Leben,Franklin,Marquardt,Henderson,Irvin,Cote,Leites,Griffin,Maia,Sonnen,Belfort,Okami,Bonnar

All either have a ground base with limited striking or are brawlers.

Georges St. Pierre – Penn,Hughes,Serra,Koscheck,Fitch,Alves,Hardy,Shields,Condit

Penn,Alves and Condit are decorated strikers and everyone else is mainly ground based. Koscheck is in the middle and Hardy never belonged in the title picture.

Anderson Silva fights mostly Brawlers who try to stand with him or wrestlers who cant capitalize on the takedown.  GSP fights some pretty good strikers and outwrestles everyone with what seems like ease.

I’d say that Anderson Silva probably takes this in the end, but I have no idea how he’d handle a very technical and well rounded martial artist in GSP. That right there sells the tickets for this Superfight.

Jones VS Silva

This is the fight that everyone wants to see. Would Jones dominate Silva to a (T)KO victory or will the precision of Anderson catch Jon off guard?

Jon Jones has faced MUCH better competition than Anderson. Lets overview all his UFC fights before he became champion.

Gusmao,Bonnar,O’Brien,Hamill,Vera,Matyushenko,Bader,Shogun

He beat the above with little to no trouble from anyone but Bonnar using his striking and wrestling. Bonnar is the only one on the list that was not finished. Jones beat Shogun for the title and became both the first one to finish Mauricio via strikes and the youngest UFC Champion.

Now, Let’s look at the Jon Jones, The UFC Champion.

Jackson,Machida,Evans,Belfort

3 were top contenders, 3 were finished. Jackson was tapped,Machida was choked out, Evans turtled for the last 3 rounds and Belfort was submitted.

Though he finished Machida and Belfort, It showed holes in both his striking and top game which he has probably sealed by now. He fights Chael Sonnen for the UFC Light Heavyweight Title next. I don’t see Sonnen giving him any trouble because he is better in all areas. Sonnen can definitely talk the talk but doesnt seem to walk the walk when the time comes.

In the end, I’d give a small edge to  Jones. Anderson has a problem with strong wrestling bases. He always overcomes it and finishes the fight but  nobody in MMA has a more vicious top game than Jon “Bones” Jones.

There’s my UFC Superfight Breakdown!

MMA INVASION

The champion that should’ve been, Shane Carwin. Carwin jump started his MMA career with 11 Brutal finishes all before the 2:12 mark. His combined in-cage time from his first 11 fights is just over 2 rounds at 10:22. Most fighters take more time in their first fight then Carwin did for the majority of his career.

Shane would face Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu fighter, Frank Mir, in his 12th MMA bout. Frank Mir, a UFC veteran with 9 of 16 wins coming by submission, had a history of taking his opponents down and breaking their limbs. Mir has even bragged about snapping arms in training camp. I always thought you wouldn’t crank an arm at %100 out of respect for your training partner but I guess that’s just me. Frank had recently put on 25 pounds of muscle in a very short period of time to “close the gap” against the larger heavyweights. This didn’t help. Shane clinched Mir up against the cage and delivered vicious and rapid uppercuts. Mir’s knees buckled and he dropped to the ground. Carwin took his back and continued slamming his 4XL gloves into Frank Mir’s face for one of the latest stoppages I can recall.

After a dominant performance against Mir, Shane Carwin was in the title picture to face Brock Lesnar of WWE fame for the UFC Heavyweight Championship.  This fight wasn’t looking any different then the previous ones. After having his takedown stuffed, Lesnar was nailed with a huge uppercut and knocked backwards following a barrage of punches that sent him to the canvas. Brock then turtled from ground-and-pound for about 3 1/2 minutes while the referee,Josh Rosenthal, told Brock “Stay active” and “Im gonna stop the fight”. With UFC Gold on his mind, Carwin increased his punch frequency to secure the stoppage that was surely to come. It didn’t. The buzzer sounded as Rosenthal continued to warn Lesnar of the stoppage. I remember staring at my television wondering why it wasn’t stopped because it was the most one sided round in history. I would’ve given it a 10-7 for Carwin. Give the man his gold!

Round 2 starts and Shane Carwin is obviously not all there. The “Punch Out” in round 1 had taken a noticeable toll on him. Lesnar smiles and Shane winks before the round commences. Only they know what that was about. The Frank Mir curse kicks in and Shane gets taken down immediately with virtually no resistance. Brock Lesnar’s corner talks him through an arm triangle step by step like he’s 5 years old. Brock Lesnar taps out Carwin and gets up on the cage and begins punching himself in the chin to show he can take a hit. Both of his eyes are cut below and 1 is slightly closed. I still can’t believe this Championship fight for the UFC title wasn’t stopped in the first.

Here’s were injuries make a promising career go a little south.

Shane Carwin would finally get long awaited back surgery, claiming to have been plagued in earlier fights. After a long hiatus, Carwin would finally return but the Beast was no more. Carwin had become much smaller and looked nowhere near as intimidating.

His next and most recent fight to date was against former UFC Champion, Junior Dos Santos. Santos was not the champion at this point but soon would be.

Shane Carwin took the worst beating that I have seen in a long time. He definitely has a chin though. Outpunched 104-22 and knocked down in the 1st round. Carwins face looked like a train wreck at the end of round 3.

That is the last time we’ve seen Shane Carwin in the Octagon. He was a Coach on TUF 16. Set to face Roy Nelson in the Finale until He blew out his knee in training.

Injury after injury, Shane Carwin’s career seems to be dwindling at Age 37.

Get well soon, Shane. Bring the Beast back!

Fight stats Courtesy of http://www.fightmetric.com

Shane Carwin’s post-fight face http://mmastreamed.com/wp-content/uploads/mvbthumbs/img_23151_carwin-face-after-junior-dos-santos-fight.jpg Courtesy of http://www.mmastreamed.com

Shane Carwin’s website http://www.shane-carwin.com