Posts Tagged ‘Steve’s MMA Breakdown’

Georges St Pierre VS Nick Diaz

“Stockton Motherf***er!”. The king of talking crap and the Stockton Slap,Nick Diaz. Rarely does a fighter coming off a loss get the opportunity to fight for the title, but when the iron is still hot you should probably strike.

Sporting a record of 26-8,Nick Diaz brawls like no other. He uses his famous Diaz boxing to get the job done,mixing in pot shots with the weak to surprise his opponent. In 2009, Frank Shamrock criticized Diaz boxing from the pre-fight interviews to the body shot that dropped him to the mat.  If you ask him about it today, he’ll praise the style.

The Stockton Native has no fear or common sense, Relentlessly attacking Paul Daley in a 2011 Strikeforce bout  turned boxing match. Diaz punched his way to a TKO after getting dropped earlier in the round. Fighters with the high level ground game that Diaz possesses would NEVER stand with Daley. I guess recklessness prevails sometimes.

Nick Diaz has had trouble with wrestlers in the past. He lost 3 in a row in 2006 to Sanchez,Riggs and Sherk. Nick also lost a split to Karo Parisyan  in ’04. Since his rise to fame in Strikeforce, he has never signed to fight a single wrestler. 5 strikers followed by his UFC re-debut against BJ Penn and a loss to Carlos Condit. Condit was also his first well rounded striker in years and he couldn’t mount much of an offense in 25 minutes seeing as Carlos didn’t stand in front of him. GSP will be the first wrestler he fought since ’06 against Sean Sherk

Georges St. Pierre, The current and most dominant Welterweight Champion ever seen in the UFC. Once fighting like a man possessed, with 14 fights and 10 early finishes, Matt Serra‘s come-from-behind upset victory changed him. After beating Serra in the rematch by TKO, he went on to have 6 of his next 7 fights go to the judges. He was so afraid to risk anything anymore that he traded in his arsenal for a lunging jab and a gymnastics class.

His wrestling is his main weapon these days. Georges‘ wrestling technique is so far above the competition that after the takedown is secured, you can guarantee yourself a couple minutes to grab something from the kitchen. His takedowns are nothing special though, it’s all in his delivery, making you think you’re in a striking match and then shooting on you. Diaz will not have a chance against GSP. Though he plays it safe nowadays, his arsenal of; lunging jabs, superman punches and spinning kicks, should pass the Diaz boxing test. If not, His wrestling will be more than enough to nullify Nick for a unanimous decision. This will be the best beat down GSP has ever given. Let’s just hope Nick Diaz doesn’t fail the Pre-fight drug test and shows up for the fight. This will prove he doesn’t belong in the title picture at WW.

My Prediction : GSP takes this by unanimous decision. GSP WON A UNI DEC

Johny Hendricks VS Carlos Condit

Carlos Condit‘s striking GREATLY improved since his UFC debut. He began putting more power behind his punches, knocking out Dan Hardy and Dong Hyun Kim in back to back wins early in the first round. He gave Georges St Pierre one of the toughest fights of his career in his last outing, won a Fight of the Night award for his performance, kept the best wrestler in the UFC away from side control and even knocked him down with a well placed head kick in the third.

Fear the beard! Johny Hendricks is the definition of one punch power. Known for knocking out Martin Kampmann and Jon Fitch in a combined 58 seconds. His only loss is a unanimous decision to Rick Story that showed holes in his wrestling game. Many thought he deserved a shot at GSP after those 58 seconds in the cage but it never came around. Instead, Johny has another obstacle in his path, Carlos Condit.

My Prediction : Carlos Condit takes this either by KO or a 1 sided unanimous decision. HENDRICKS WON A CONTROVERSIAL DECISION AFTER BEING OUTSTRUCK

Jake Ellenberger VS Nate Marquardt

Jake entered the UFC on a low note, losing a split decision to Carlos Condit. He rebounded by knocking out 4 of his next 6 opponents, including the never before finished Jake Shields, and developed a name for himself as a power puncher. Ellenberger goes for the knockout with every single punch he throws. This could be the reason he can’t make it to round 3. He recently suffered a knockout loss at the hands of Martin Kampmann. After a succesful left hook knockdown followed by a barrage of punches, Ellenberger found himself on the receiving end of a guillotine choke attempt that lasted most of the round. Out of gas in round 2, Jake‘s punches didn’t do as much damage. He may have bloodied Kampmann but eventually succumbed to some knees from the thai clinch ending this main event. He rebounded by redeeming one of his losses, beating Jay Heiron by unanimous decision.

Nate Marquardt is 2-2 in his last 4 fights, getting badly beat by Saffiedine and losing a close decison to Yushin Okami. He regained the spotlight with his win against Tyrone Woodley, acquiring the Strikeforce Welterweight Title. He was cut from the UFC for “failing medical requirements” and also popped for nandrolone in his original debut. Though Nate has issues with defending a strong wrestlers takedown, he has the tools to pull this off if he plays it safe, weathering the early storm and taking it into the later rounds. We will have to see if he passes the pre and post fight tests.

My Prediction : Jake Ellenberger finishes this with a TKO before Round 3 ELLENBERGER KO’D MARQUARDT EARLY IN THE 1ST ROUND

MMA INVASION

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BISPING BELFORT STAREDOWN

UFC ON FX 7 Betting Odds

Vitor Belfort -125 VS Michael Bisping -105

The odds might as well be even in this fight. Its Belfort’s 1 punch KO power VS Bisping’s gas tank for this 5 Round War!

Vitor Belfort goes into every fight with the same plan, Land early. Unfortunately, if this doesn’t prevail, he seems to fade. In Belfort’s last 6 fights, he has had 3 stoppages by quick KO, a submission victory over Anthony Johnson and 2 losses to champions Silva and Jones.

Bisping has outworked 7 of his last 10 opponents. Only ever being finished once in his career by Dan Henderson. Every time “The Count” seems deserving of the title picture, He gets dropped down the ladder. Dan Henderson’s right hand, Wanderlei Silva’s relentless attack and the wrestling of Chael Sonnen are responsible. Nevertheless, Michael Bisping is still very much a top contender in the Middleweight division.

I cant make a for sure pick for this fight because it comes down to few things. Either “The Phenom” lands early, capitalizing on  Bisping’s horrible first round head movement. “The Count” survives the early onslaught and has his cardio be the deciding factor in the later rounds.

The possible improvement of Bisping’s jab is a major factor here. Michael Bisping is praised for his jab by the UFC commentators. Unfortunately, it’s not that great. It’s his frequency and accuracy of the jab that wins him fights. A proper jab setup keeps your shoulder and hand high. Michael keeps his hand at mid height and doesn’t tuck his shoulder to block any counter strikes. This is why you will see him get knocked down in the first round by many fighters not touted for their striking game. He also circles to his left during the jab, making the impact of the jab weaker by not planting his feet.  This was blatantly obvious during the Henderson fight. This served as Santos’ demise against Velasquez in their rematch.

Michael Bisping always seems to fail his “step up” to prove himself. If any of the above hasn’t improved, Vitor takes this in the first and Michael “Always Contender never Champ” Bisping drops down the Middleweight ladder once again.

Bisping VS Vitor trailer – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oMUvGEoJbbw

RESULTS: Bisping lost in the 2nd round via headkick after barely surviving the first.

MMA INVASION

DOS SANTOS CAIN 155

UFC 155 Betting Odds

Santos -170 vs Velasquez -130

Belcher +105 vs Okami -135

Junior Dos Santos -170 VS Cain Velasquez -130

This is a rematch for the UFC Heavyweight Title between the Top 2 ranked Heavyweights in the world. The first time these 2 met, Velasquez was the reigning champion. That quickly changed hands at 1:04 in the first round with Dos Santos’ overhand right clipping Cain in the temple and sending him flopping to the canvas.

Though Velasquez was undefeated up to this point, his chin has always been suspect to me since the Cheick Kongo fight. He was dropped to his knees twice and saved by desperation takedowns that closed out the rounds.

I’d go with Santos again. I see no difference in the rematch. Nobody seems to have an answer for Cigano’s boxing and he has a chin that Shane Carwin couldn’t crack.

Alan Belcher +105 VS Yushin Okami -135

The betting odds here have Okami as the favourite but I dont see how. These 2 fought back at UFC 62 but are completely different fighters now so call this a rematch.

Yushin’s last 5 fights have been up and down. Winning a sloppy fight against Mardquart, a split to Munoz and getting toyed with by Anderson Silva (This seems to happen to most). He received a brutal KO from Tim Boetsch early in the 3rd and was saved by the wrestling inexperience of Buddy Roberts after losing the striking battle.

Alan Belcher had a rough skid in ’08 and ’09.  He was KO’ed in the first by Jason Day but went on to win a split decision against Ed Herman and a come from behind victory against Dennis Kang. Neither being impressive victories. Just when things were looking up for “The Talent”,he lost a controversial split against Japanese Superstar Yoshihiro Akiyama.

Heres where I pick Belcher over Okami.

Belcher’s last 4 fights have been a completely different fighter.  He bested Wilson Gouveia with punches late in the first, submitted Patrick Cote and easily handled Jason”The Athlete” Macdonald.

His last fight VS Rousimar Palhares had fight critics thinking it was another drop down the Middleweight ladder for Alan Belcher. Palhares was a -150 and Belcher was +165. The odds were looking good for Alan to fall victim to a nasty kneebar.

Not only did Belcher win but he won in style! When the fight hit the mat, fans were calling for “The Talent” to get up. Not only did he ignore them, He outgrappled and pounded out Rousimar for a TKO victory.

After the fight, Alan called out Anderson Silva. I dont believe Alan is ready for that but I think he will have no problem beating Okami. He’s my Pick.

Jim Miller VS Joe Lauzon

Overall, Id say this will be a pretty good fight. Joe Lauzon is an excellent first round fighter. He held his own on the mat with Sotiropoulis until he faded fast in the second. Joe has great all around game but if he doesnt finish in the first, his gas tank seems to get the better of him. The majority of his more recent wins come in the 1st round or not at all.

Jim Miller is a grinder who wears down opponents with his wrestling. This is both good and bad for Lauzon. Its were Joe wants the fight to go but can he find a hole in Miller’s top game? Jim Miller doesn’t have very good stand up but his intensity on the mat seems to get the job done for most fights. The majority of Miller’s losses come from Current and former Champions,which makes him my Pick.

UFC 155 trailer – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K_Vh6mIKQp0