Archive for the ‘Breakdowns’ Category

BISPING BELFORT STAREDOWN

UFC ON FX 7 Betting Odds

Vitor Belfort -125 VS Michael Bisping -105

The odds might as well be even in this fight. Its Belfort’s 1 punch KO power VS Bisping’s gas tank for this 5 Round War!

Vitor Belfort goes into every fight with the same plan, Land early. Unfortunately, if this doesn’t prevail, he seems to fade. In Belfort’s last 6 fights, he has had 3 stoppages by quick KO, a submission victory over Anthony Johnson and 2 losses to champions Silva and Jones.

Bisping has outworked 7 of his last 10 opponents. Only ever being finished once in his career by Dan Henderson. Every time “The Count” seems deserving of the title picture, He gets dropped down the ladder. Dan Henderson’s right hand, Wanderlei Silva’s relentless attack and the wrestling of Chael Sonnen are responsible. Nevertheless, Michael Bisping is still very much a top contender in the Middleweight division.

I cant make a for sure pick for this fight because it comes down to few things. Either “The Phenom” lands early, capitalizing on  Bisping’s horrible first round head movement. “The Count” survives the early onslaught and has his cardio be the deciding factor in the later rounds.

The possible improvement of Bisping’s jab is a major factor here. Michael Bisping is praised for his jab by the UFC commentators. Unfortunately, it’s not that great. It’s his frequency and accuracy of the jab that wins him fights. A proper jab setup keeps your shoulder and hand high. Michael keeps his hand at mid height and doesn’t tuck his shoulder to block any counter strikes. This is why you will see him get knocked down in the first round by many fighters not touted for their striking game. He also circles to his left during the jab, making the impact of the jab weaker by not planting his feet.  This was blatantly obvious during the Henderson fight. This served as Santos’ demise against Velasquez in their rematch.

Michael Bisping always seems to fail his “step up” to prove himself. If any of the above hasn’t improved, Vitor takes this in the first and Michael “Always Contender never Champ” Bisping drops down the Middleweight ladder once again.

Bisping VS Vitor trailer – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oMUvGEoJbbw

RESULTS: Bisping lost in the 2nd round via headkick after barely surviving the first.

MMA INVASION

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DOS SANTOS CAIN 155

UFC 155 Betting Odds

Santos -170 vs Velasquez -130

Belcher +105 vs Okami -135

Junior Dos Santos -170 VS Cain Velasquez -130

This is a rematch for the UFC Heavyweight Title between the Top 2 ranked Heavyweights in the world. The first time these 2 met, Velasquez was the reigning champion. That quickly changed hands at 1:04 in the first round with Dos Santos’ overhand right clipping Cain in the temple and sending him flopping to the canvas.

Though Velasquez was undefeated up to this point, his chin has always been suspect to me since the Cheick Kongo fight. He was dropped to his knees twice and saved by desperation takedowns that closed out the rounds.

I’d go with Santos again. I see no difference in the rematch. Nobody seems to have an answer for Cigano’s boxing and he has a chin that Shane Carwin couldn’t crack.

Alan Belcher +105 VS Yushin Okami -135

The betting odds here have Okami as the favourite but I dont see how. These 2 fought back at UFC 62 but are completely different fighters now so call this a rematch.

Yushin’s last 5 fights have been up and down. Winning a sloppy fight against Mardquart, a split to Munoz and getting toyed with by Anderson Silva (This seems to happen to most). He received a brutal KO from Tim Boetsch early in the 3rd and was saved by the wrestling inexperience of Buddy Roberts after losing the striking battle.

Alan Belcher had a rough skid in ’08 and ’09.  He was KO’ed in the first by Jason Day but went on to win a split decision against Ed Herman and a come from behind victory against Dennis Kang. Neither being impressive victories. Just when things were looking up for “The Talent”,he lost a controversial split against Japanese Superstar Yoshihiro Akiyama.

Heres where I pick Belcher over Okami.

Belcher’s last 4 fights have been a completely different fighter.  He bested Wilson Gouveia with punches late in the first, submitted Patrick Cote and easily handled Jason”The Athlete” Macdonald.

His last fight VS Rousimar Palhares had fight critics thinking it was another drop down the Middleweight ladder for Alan Belcher. Palhares was a -150 and Belcher was +165. The odds were looking good for Alan to fall victim to a nasty kneebar.

Not only did Belcher win but he won in style! When the fight hit the mat, fans were calling for “The Talent” to get up. Not only did he ignore them, He outgrappled and pounded out Rousimar for a TKO victory.

After the fight, Alan called out Anderson Silva. I dont believe Alan is ready for that but I think he will have no problem beating Okami. He’s my Pick.

Jim Miller VS Joe Lauzon

Overall, Id say this will be a pretty good fight. Joe Lauzon is an excellent first round fighter. He held his own on the mat with Sotiropoulis until he faded fast in the second. Joe has great all around game but if he doesnt finish in the first, his gas tank seems to get the better of him. The majority of his more recent wins come in the 1st round or not at all.

Jim Miller is a grinder who wears down opponents with his wrestling. This is both good and bad for Lauzon. Its were Joe wants the fight to go but can he find a hole in Miller’s top game? Jim Miller doesn’t have very good stand up but his intensity on the mat seems to get the job done for most fights. The majority of Miller’s losses come from Current and former Champions,which makes him my Pick.

UFC 155 trailer – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K_Vh6mIKQp0